December 10, 2024
Publications
>
Article

Socio-Hydrological Agent-Based Modeling as a Framework for Analyzing Conflicts Within Water User Organizations

Publicated to: Water (WATER-SUI). 16 (22): 3321- - 2024-11-01 16(22), DOI: 10.3390/w16223321

Authors:

Lillo-Saavedra, M; Velásquez-Cisterna, P; García-Pedrero, A; Salgado-Vargas, M; Rivera, D; Cisterna-Roa, V; Somos-Valenzuela, M; Boumahdi, M; Gonzalo-Martín, C
[+]

Affiliations

Univ Concepcion, Fac Arquitectura Urbanismo & Geog, Concepcion 4070386, Chile - Author
Univ Concepcion, Fac Ciencias Ambientales, Dept Planificac Terr & Sistemas Urbanos, Victor Lamas 1290, Concepcion 4070386, Chile - Author
Univ Concepcion, Fac Ingn Agr, Ave Vicente Mendez 595, Chillan 3812120, Chile - Author
Univ Desarrollo, Engn Fac, Ctr Sustentabil & Gest Estrateg Recursos CiSGER, Las Condes 7610658, Chile - Author
Univ La Frontera, Fac Agr & Environm Sci, Dept Forest Sci, Ave Francisco Salazar 01145, Temuco 4811230, Chile - Author
Univ Politecn Madrid, Dept Comp Architecture & Technol, Boadilla Del Monte 28660, Spain - Author
See more

Abstract

Water resource management in agriculture faces complex challenges due to increasing scarcity, exacerbated by climate change, and the intensification of conflicts among various user groups. This study addresses the issue of predicting and managing these conflicts in the Longav & iacute; River Basin, Chile, by considering the intricate interactions between hydrological, social, and economic factors. A socio-hydrological agent-based model (SHABM) was developed, integrating hydrological, economic, and behavioral data. The methodology combined fieldwork with computational modeling, characterizing three types of agents (selfish, neutral, and cooperative) and simulating scenarios with varying levels of water availability and oversight across three water user organizations (WUOs). The key findings revealed that (1) selfish agents are more likely to disregard irrigation schedules under conditions of scarcity and low supervision; (2) high supervision (90%) significantly reduces conflicts; (3) water scarcity exacerbates non-cooperative behaviors; (4) high-risk conflict areas can be identified; and (5) behavioral patterns stabilize after the third year of simulation. This work demonstrates the potential of SHABM as a decision-making tool in water management, enabling the proactive identification of conflict-prone areas and the evaluation of management strategies.
[+]

Keywords

Agent-based modelingAgriculturAgricultureSciencSocio-hydrologyWater conflictsWater resource management

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Water (WATER-SUI) due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency Scopus (SJR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2024 there are still no calculated indicators, but in 2023, it was in position , thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Aquatic Science.

Independientemente del impacto esperado determinado por el canal de difusión, es importante destacar el impacto real observado de la propia aportación.

Según las diferentes agencias de indexación, el número de citas acumuladas por esta publicación hasta la fecha 2026-04-27:

  • WoS: 1
  • Scopus: 1
[+]

Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2026-04-27:

  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 14 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

    It is essential to present evidence supporting full alignment with institutional principles and guidelines on Open Science and the Conservation and Dissemination of Intellectual Heritage. A clear example of this is:

    • The work has been submitted to a journal whose editorial policy allows open Open Access publication.
    • Assignment of a Handle/URN as an identifier within the deposit in the Institutional Repository: https://oa.upm.es/88884/

    As a result of the publication of the work in the institutional repository, statistical usage data has been obtained that reflects its impact. In terms of dissemination, we can state that, as of

    • Views: 150
    • Downloads: 24
    [+]

    Leadership analysis of institutional authors

    This work has been carried out with international collaboration, specifically with researchers from: Chile.

    There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: Last Author (GONZALO MARTIN, CONSUELO).

    [+]

    Awards linked to the item

    This research was funded by the Chilean National Agency for Research and Development (ANID) through the project "Socio-hydrological Agent-based Modeling To Assess Future Water Conflicts At Basin Scale" (FONDECYT/1230312) and was also supported by the Water Research Center for Agriculture and Mining (CRHIAM) through ANID FONDAP/15130015. The APC was funded by the FONDECYT/1230312 project.
    [+]