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Analysis of institutional authors

Sordo-Ward, ACorresponding AuthorMartin-Carrasco, FAuthorGarrote, LAuthor

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December 19, 2024
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High-resolution estimates of water availability for the Iberian Peninsula under climate scenarios

Publicated to: Applied Water Science. 14 (8): 167- - 2024-08-01 14(8), DOI: 10.1007/s13201-024-02165-8

Authors:

Paredes-Beltran, B; Sordo-Ward, A; Martin-Carrasco, F; Garrote, L
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Affiliations

Univ Politecn Madrid, Dept Ingn Civil Hidraul Energia & Medio Ambiente - Author
Univ Tecn Ambato, Fac Ingn Civil & Mecan, Carrera Ingn Civil - Author

Abstract

Water availability is of paramount importance for sustainable development and environmental planning, specifically in regions such as the Iberian Peninsula, renowned for diverse landscapes and varying climatic conditions. Due to climate change, understanding the potential impacts on water resources becomes essential for effective water management strategies. This research effort aims to assess future potential water availability for the Iberian Peninsula in different climate scenarios, employing cutting-edge water resource modelling techniques integrated within a geographic information system (GIS) framework. In this study, potential water availability is defined as the annual demand for water that can be satisfied at a specific point in the fluvial network with certain reliability. An ensemble of state-of-the-art climate models is utilised to project runoff for the Iberian Peninsula during the mid- and late-twenty-first century periods. These climate projections were subsequently processed using the GIS-based water resource management model, WAAPA, to derive potential water availability under a range of realistic hypotheses. The results indicate that anticipated shifts in precipitation patterns will lead to alterations in hydrological regimes across the region, significantly impacting future water availability. By using GIS-based methodologies, we can facilitate the identification of vulnerable areas susceptible to changes in water availability, offering spatially explicit information along the main rivers of the Iberian Peninsula for decision-makers and stakeholders. High-resolution spatial outputs from this research and detailed water availability estimates serve as valuable input for integrated water resource management and climate change adaptation planning. By combining advanced GIS-based hydrological modelling with climate scenarios, this research presents a robust framework for assessing water resources amidst a changing climate, applicable to other regions struggling with analogous challenges. Ultimately, our study provides vital insights for policymakers and stakeholders, empowering them to make informed decisions and devise adaptive measures to ensure sustainable use of water resources despite uncertain future climatic conditions.
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Keywords

BasinClimate changeEbro riverHydrologyImpactsManagementMediterranean regionResourcesRiskScarcityStrategiesWater availability

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Applied Water Science due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency WoS (JCR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2024 there are still no calculated indicators, but in 2023, it was in position 14/132, thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Water Resources. Notably, the journal is positioned above the 90th percentile.

Independientemente del impacto esperado determinado por el canal de difusión, es importante destacar el impacto real observado de la propia aportación.

Según las diferentes agencias de indexación, el número de citas acumuladas por esta publicación hasta la fecha 2026-04-27:

  • WoS: 5
  • Scopus: 6
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Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2026-04-27:

  • The use, from an academic perspective evidenced by the Altmetric agency indicator referring to aggregations made by the personal bibliographic manager Mendeley, gives us a total of: 33.
  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 30 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

  • The Total Score from Altmetric: 8.
  • The number of mentions in news outlets: 1 (Altmetric).

It is essential to present evidence supporting full alignment with institutional principles and guidelines on Open Science and the Conservation and Dissemination of Intellectual Heritage. A clear example of this is:

  • The work has been submitted to a journal whose editorial policy allows open Open Access publication.
  • Assignment of a Handle/URN as an identifier within the deposit in the Institutional Repository: https://oa.upm.es/93400/

As a result of the publication of the work in the institutional repository, statistical usage data has been obtained that reflects its impact. In terms of dissemination, we can state that, as of

  • Views: 36
  • Downloads: 10
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Leadership analysis of institutional authors

This work has been carried out with international collaboration, specifically with researchers from: Ecuador.

There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: Last Author (GARROTE DE MARCOS, LUIS MARIA).

the author responsible for correspondence tasks has been SORDO WARD, ALVARO FRANCISCO.

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Project objectives

Esta aportación persigue los siguientes objetivos: analizar la disponibilidad potencial de agua en la Península Ibérica bajo distintos escenarios climáticos; emplear técnicas avanzadas de modelado de recursos hídricos integradas en un sistema de información geográfica (GIS); proyectar el escurrimiento utilizando un conjunto de modelos climáticos de última generación para los periodos mediados y finales del siglo XXI; evaluar los cambios en los regímenes hidrológicos derivados de las variaciones en los patrones de precipitación; identificar áreas vulnerables a alteraciones en la disponibilidad de agua mediante metodologías GIS; y proporcionar información espacial detallada para apoyar la gestión integrada de recursos hídricos y la planificación de adaptación al cambio climático.
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Most relevant results

El estudio presenta una evaluación detallada de la disponibilidad potencial de agua en la Península Ibérica bajo distintos escenarios climáticos futuros. Los resultados más relevantes incluyen: (1) la definición de disponibilidad potencial de agua como la demanda anual satisfecha en puntos específicos de la red fluvial con cierta fiabilidad; (2) la utilización de un conjunto de modelos climáticos avanzados para proyectar el escurrimiento en los periodos mediados y finales del siglo XXI; (3) la aplicación del modelo WAAPA integrado en un sistema GIS para estimar la disponibilidad hídrica bajo diversas hipótesis realistas; (4) la identificación de cambios significativos en los regímenes hidrológicos debido a alteraciones en los patrones de precipitación; y (5) la generación de salidas espaciales de alta resolución que permiten detectar áreas vulnerables y apoyar la gestión integrada y la planificación adaptativa.
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