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Analysis of institutional authors

Mediero, LuisCorresponding AuthorFernandez-Fidalgo, JavierAuthorGarrote, LuisAuthor

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September 4, 2025
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A Flood Forecasting Method in the Francolí River Basin (Spain) Using a Distributed Hydrological Model and an Analog-Based Precipitation Forecast

Publicated to: Hydrology. 12 (8): 220- - 2025-08-19 12(8), DOI: 10.3390/hydrology12080220

Authors:

Carril-Rojas, D; Guzzon, C; Mediero, L; Fernández-Fidalgo, J; Garrote, L; Llasat, MC; Marcos-Matamoros, R
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Affiliations

Univ Barcelona, Barcelona Inst Complex Syst UBICS, 08028 Barcelona, Spain - Author
Univ Barcelona, Dept Appl Phys, Barcelona 08028, Spain - Author
Univ Politecn Madrid, Dept Civil Engn Hydraul Energy & Environm, Madrid 28040, Spain - Author
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Abstract

Recent flooding events in Spain have highlighted the need to develop real-time flood forecasts to estimate streamflows over the next few hours and days. Therefore, a meteorological forecast that provides possible precipitation for the upcoming hours combined with a hydrological model to simulate the rainfall-runoff processes in the basin and its flood response are needed. In this paper, a probabilistic flood forecasting tool is proposed for the Francol & iacute; river basin, located in Catalonia (Spain). For this purpose, the Real-time Interactive Basin Simulator (RIBS) distributed hydrological model was calibrated in this basin for a set of flood events. Then, a series of rainfall field forecasts based on the analog method have been used as input data in the hydrological model, obtaining a set of hydrographs for given flood events as output. Finally, a probabilistic forecast that supplies the probability distribution of the possible response flows of the Francol & iacute; river is provided for a set of episodes.
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Keywords

Analog methodCalibrationDistributed hydrological modelEuropeFlash floodsFlood forecastinFlood forecastingFrequencyPrecipitation forecastingTrend

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Hydrology due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency Scopus (SJR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2025, it was in position , thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Earth-Surface Processes.

Independientemente del impacto esperado determinado por el canal de difusión, es importante destacar el impacto real observado de la propia aportación.

Según las diferentes agencias de indexación, el número de citas acumuladas por esta publicación hasta la fecha 2026-04-26:

  • WoS: 2
  • Scopus: 2
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Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2026-04-26:

  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 4 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

    It is essential to present evidence supporting full alignment with institutional principles and guidelines on Open Science and the Conservation and Dissemination of Intellectual Heritage. A clear example of this is:

    • The work has been submitted to a journal whose editorial policy allows open Open Access publication.
    • Assignment of a Handle/URN as an identifier within the deposit in the Institutional Repository: https://oa.upm.es/95344/

    As a result of the publication of the work in the institutional repository, statistical usage data has been obtained that reflects its impact. In terms of dissemination, we can state that, as of

    • Views: 17
    • Downloads: 6
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    Leadership analysis of institutional authors

    There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: First Author (Carril-Rojas, Daniel) .

    the author responsible for correspondence tasks has been MEDIERO ORDUÑA, LUIS JESUS.

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    Awards linked to the item

    This research was supported by the project "Flood2Now. Improvement of early warning systems for flood risk with past information and citizen data" funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (MCIN/AEI/10.13039/50110001103) and the European Union (NextGenerationEU/PRTR), grant number PLEC2022-009403.
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