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Analysis of institutional authors

Diaz, IsmaelAuthorRodriguez, ManuelCorresponding Author

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October 7, 2025
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Machine learning-driven modeling framework for steam co-gasification applications

Publicated to: Fuel Processing Technology. 278 108340- - 2025-09-19 278(), DOI: 10.1016/j.fuproc.2025.108340

Authors:

Jadoon, Usman Khan; Diaz, Ismael; Rodriguez, Manuel
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Affiliations

Univ Politecn Madrid, Escuela Tecn Super Ingn Ind, Dept Ingn Quim Ind & Medioambiente, C Jose Gutierrez Abascal 2, Madrid 28006, Spain - Author

Abstract

Steam co-gasification of biomass and plastic waste is a promising route for syngas production and waste valorization. However, accurately predicting syngas composition remains challenging due to inherent complexity and nonlinearity of the process. This study presents a comprehensive comparative analysis between conventional process simulators-based models (Aspen Plus), namely the thermodynamic equilibrium (TEM), restricted thermodynamic (RTM), and kinetic (KM) modeling approaches, and machine learning (ML) models for the prediction of the syngas composition. Using 208 experimental data points compiled from 20 published studies covering various feedstocks and gasification conditions in bubbling fluidized bed gasifiers (BFBG), the performance of the models was evaluated after extensive data preprocessing. Among several ML algorithms evaluated, the neural network (NN) delivered the lowest average root mean square error in syngas mol fraction predictions (0.0174), outperforming RTM (0.0966), KM (0.1378), and TEM (0.1470). To explore input-output relationships beyond interpolation, a conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN) generated synthetic data, which served as the basis for sensitivity and interpretability analyses. The NN, acting as a surrogate model, was paired with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Partial Dependence Plots (PDP) to quantify the effects and nonlinear interactions of key features on syngas yields providing actionable insights for process optimization.
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Keywords

Biomass gasificationBubbling fluidized-bedCo-gasificationExplainable aiFirst-principle modelingFirst-principles modelingFluidized bed processFluidized bedsForecastingGasificationHydrogen-rich gasLearning systemsMachine learningMachine-learningMean square errorNonlinear simulationsOptimizationPerformancePilot-scaleReactorSensitivity analysisSensitivity analyzesSimulationSteam/coSyn gasSyngas compositionSyngas predictionSyngas productionSynthesis gasTemperatureThermodynamic equilibriaWastes

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Fuel Processing Technology due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency WoS (JCR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2025, it was in position 20/175, thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Engineering, Chemical.

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Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2025-12-19:

  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 12 (PlumX).
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Leadership analysis of institutional authors

There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: First Author (Jadoon, Usman Khan) and Last Author (RODRIGUEZ HERNANDEZ, MANUEL).

the author responsible for correspondence tasks has been RODRIGUEZ HERNANDEZ, MANUEL.

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Awards linked to the item

This work was co-funded by Repsol and the European Union's Ho-rizon 2020 Marie Sk & lstrok;odowska-Curie program (Grant Agreement No. 945139) , under the "SDGine for Healthy People and Cities" initiative. Ismael Diaz and Manuel Rodriguez thank support from Comunidad de Madrid under the AgroSUSTEC-CM project (TEC-2024/BIO-27) .
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