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Rodríguez-Sanz AAutor (correspondencia)

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25 de enero de 2023
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Impact of Wind on the Predictability and Uncertainty Management of 4D-Trajectories

Publicado en:Lecture Notes In Electrical Engineering. 731 LNEE 259-283 - 2021-01-01 731 LNEE(), DOI: 10.1007/978-981-33-4669-7_15

Autores: Rodriguez-Sanz Á; Canadell MT

Afiliaciones

Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM), Madrid, Spain - Autor o Coautor

Resumen

The future Air Traffic Management (ATM) system will depend on Trajectory Based Operations (TBO) to accommodate the growing demand in air traffic. This system will expect aircraft to follow an assigned 4D-trajectory with high precision, meeting arrival times over established checkpoints with great accuracy. These time-constraints are called Target Windows (TWs). Wind is one of the greatest sources of uncertainty and, consequently, a key point for the improvement of predictability and, ultimately, the implementation of 4D-trajectories. The main aim of this paper is to develop a methodology to characterize these TWs and to assess the uncertainty on the evolution of 4D-trajectories due to the effect of wind. For such purpose, 4D-trajectories are modelled deterministically, using a point mass model and the BADA (Base of Aircraft Data) methodology of EUROCONTROL. In parallel, wind is modelled with a hybrid approach, where the stochastic component captures the error associated with weather forecasts. Through Monte Carlo Simulation, the variability of the trajectory´s parameters is evaluated under different atmospheric scenarios. Using these results, TWs are defined along the different stages of flight, quantifying the uncertainty associated with the aircraft´s position under the effect of wind. © 2021, Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

Palabras clave

4d-trajectoriesAdvanced traffic management systemsAir navigationAir traffic controlAir traffic management systemsAircraftAtmAviationDifferent stagesMonte carlo methodsMonte carlo simulationPoint mass modelsPredictabilityScattering parametersSources of uncertaintyStochastic componentStochastic systemsTarget windowsTime constraintTime constraintsTrajectoriesTrajectory-basedUncertaintyUncertainty analysisUncertainty managementWeather forecasting

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Análisis de liderazgo de los autores institucionales

Existe un liderazgo significativo ya que algunos de los autores pertenecientes a la institución aparecen como primer o último firmante, se puede apreciar en el detalle: Primer Autor (RODRIGUEZ SANZ, ALVARO) y Último Autor (Canadell MT).

el autor responsable de establecer las labores de correspondencia ha sido RODRIGUEZ SANZ, ALVARO.