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Impact on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Analysis of institutional authors

Jiménez-Martínez, MaribelCorresponding AuthorNavas-Sanchez, LauraAuthorGonzalez-Rodrigo, BeatrizAuthor

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November 19, 2024
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A methodology to assess and select seismic fragility curves: Calibration from expert survey and fuzzy analysis

Publicated to: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 114 104930- - 2024-11-05 114(), DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104930

Authors:

Jimenez-Martinez, Maribel; Navas-Sanchez, Laura; Gonzalez-Rodrigo, Beatriz; Hernandez-Rubio, Orlando
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Affiliations

GEOLYDER SL, Calle Capitan Haya, 15, Esc, Madrid 28020, Spain - Author
Univ Politecn Madrid, ETS Arquitectura, Ave Juan Herrera,4, Madrid 28040, Spain - Author
Univ Politecn Madrid, ETSI Montes Forestales & Medio Nat, C Jose Antonio Novais, 10, Madrid 28040, Spain - Author
Univ Politecn Madrid, ETSI Topog Geodesia & Cartog, Calle Mercator, 2, Madrid 28031, Spain - Author
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Abstract

Fragility curves (FCs) are extended decision-making tools for estimating the structural performance of systems exposed to seismic hazards. However, selecting an inappropriate FC can significantly affect the accuracy of loss and damage calculations in seismic risk assessments. This article enhances the "Select.FC" method, a recently proposed novel approach that allows the selection of FCs with a higher degree of reliability. This method utilizes a multidimensional index incorporating a comprehensive set of variables about various aspects of FCs. A calibration and validation process is conducted on the variable scores of this multidimensional index based on a worldwide survey of experts. The implementation of the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) method further enhances the objectivity and dependability of the scores calculated from the experts' responses. The proposed approach not only allows for the evaluation of FCs but also provides a practical tool for researchers. This evaluation of FCs is crucial, as it enhances the accuracy and reliability of seismic vulnerability and risk assessments. The results obtained from the expert survey and the FAHP reveal several discrepancies between the calibrated new scores assigned to specific variables and those proposed in the original methodology. However, in the aggregate, these discrepancies disappear. Therefore, the "Select. FC" method and its proposed classification of FCs into six categories based on the score obtained in the final multidimensional index seem quite robust regarding important changes in the weights of some of the variables.
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Keywords

AmericaBridgesClimate actionComposite indexesExpert surveyFragility curveFuzzy analysiFuzzy analysisHazarHierarchy processMultidimensional indexRankingResidential building stockSeismic risk assessmentWeights

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency WoS (JCR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2024 there are still no calculated indicators, but in 2023, it was in position 38/258, thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Geosciences, Multidisciplinary.

Independientemente del impacto esperado determinado por el canal de difusión, es importante destacar el impacto real observado de la propia aportación.

Según las diferentes agencias de indexación, el número de citas acumuladas por esta publicación hasta la fecha 2026-04-07:

  • WoS: 1
  • Scopus: 1
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Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2026-04-07:

  • The use, from an academic perspective evidenced by the Altmetric agency indicator referring to aggregations made by the personal bibliographic manager Mendeley, gives us a total of: 14.
  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 14 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

  • The Total Score from Altmetric: 20.
  • The number of mentions on the social network X (formerly Twitter): 4 (Altmetric).
  • The number of mentions in news outlets: 2 (Altmetric).
Continuing with the social impact of the work, it is important to emphasize that, due to its content, it can be assigned to the area of interest of ODS 13 - Climate Action, with a probability of 84% according to the mBERT algorithm developed by Aurora University.
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Leadership analysis of institutional authors

There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: First Author (JIMENEZ MARTINEZ, MARIBEL) .

the author responsible for correspondence tasks has been JIMENEZ MARTINEZ, MARIBEL.

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Project objectives

Los objetivos perseguidos en esta aportación se centran en mejorar la selección de curvas de fragilidad sísmica (FCs) para optimizar la precisión en evaluaciones de riesgo sísmico. Se pretende analizar el método "Select.FC" para incrementar su fiabilidad mediante la incorporación de un índice multidimensional que evalúa diversas variables relacionadas con las FCs. Se busca calibrar y validar las puntuaciones de este índice a partir de una encuesta internacional de expertos. Además, se pretende aplicar el proceso analítico jerárquico difuso (FAHP) para aumentar la objetividad y consistencia de las puntuaciones derivadas. Finalmente, se aspira a clasificar las FCs en seis categorías robustas que reflejen cambios significativos en los pesos de las variables evaluadas.
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Most relevant results

Los resultados más relevantes del estudio se centran en la mejora del método "Select.FC" para la selección de curvas de fragilidad sísmica mediante un índice multidimensional calibrado y validado a partir de una encuesta global de expertos. En primer lugar, la aplicación del proceso analítico jerárquico difuso (FAHP) incrementa la objetividad y fiabilidad de las puntuaciones derivadas de las respuestas expertas. En segundo lugar, se identificaron discrepancias significativas entre las nuevas puntuaciones calibradas y las originales para variables específicas, aunque estas diferencias se diluyen en el índice global. Finalmente, la clasificación propuesta de las curvas en seis categorías basadas en el índice multidimensional demuestra ser robusta frente a variaciones importantes en los pesos asignados a algunas variables.
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Awards linked to the item

This work was supported by EU, Directorate-General for International Partnerships (DG INTPA) , Adelante 2 Programme, Project 9063-01: "Sustainable and resilient construction in Central America and the Caribbean in the face of seismic risk: regional cooperation based on the experience of Costa Rica".
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