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We gratefully acknowledge funding from the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities and FEDER through Grant RTI-2018-099403-B-I00 and the Spanish Ministry of Education and Science through Grant ECO2017-82445-R.

Analysis of institutional authors

Laborda, JuanCorresponding Author

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December 10, 2024
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Automotive Aftermarket Forecast in a Changing World: The Stakeholders' Perceptions Boost!

Publicated to:Sustainability. 12 (18): 7817- - 2020-09-01 12(18), DOI: 10.3390/su12187817

Authors: Laborda, Juan; Moral, Maria Jose

Affiliations

Univ Carlos III, Dept Business Adm, Madrid 28903, Spain - Author
Univ Nacl Educac Distancia UNED, Dept Appl Econ, Madrid 28040, Spain - Author

Abstract

This study presents a methodology for forecasting the medium- and long-term real revenues of the automotive post-sales service sectors, assuming the automobile industry is nowadays undergoing a deep process of transformation. There are several conditioning factors, usage as well as environmental reasons, that makes past times an unreasonable guide for a future forecast. Firstly, we estimate, using regression models, the most important variables for the automobile sector that will affect the long-term forecasts of the automotive aftermarket's revenues. Secondly, we apply participatory methods to quantify the impact of the new conditioning factors. This is a research tool used for the Spanish automotive aftermarket. Our results indicate how stakeholders' perceptions modulate the forecasts for those economic sectors involved in a disrupted changing business model.

Keywords

AutomationAutomobile industryAutomotive aftermarketCar ownershipEmissionsEmploymentFatalitiesLong-term changeManagementMobilityNew conditioning usage and environmental factorsParticipationPerceptionPredictionPriceQuantitative analysisRegistrationsScrappageService sectorSpainStakeholderStakeholders&#8217Stakeholders' perceptions

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Sustainability due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency Scopus (SJR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2020, it was in position , thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Energy Engineering and Power Technology. Notably, the journal is positioned above the 90th percentile.

From a relative perspective, and based on the normalized impact indicator calculated from the Field Citation Ratio (FCR) of the Dimensions source, it yields a value of: 3.39, which indicates that, compared to works in the same discipline and in the same year of publication, it ranks as a work cited above average. (source consulted: Dimensions Jul 2025)

Specifically, and according to different indexing agencies, this work has accumulated citations as of 2025-07-28, the following number of citations:

  • WoS: 5
  • Scopus: 8
  • Google Scholar: 20
  • Open Alex: 6

Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2025-07-28:

  • The use, from an academic perspective evidenced by the Altmetric agency indicator referring to aggregations made by the personal bibliographic manager Mendeley, gives us a total of: 40.
  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 41 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

  • The Total Score from Altmetric: 0.25.
  • The number of mentions on the social network X (formerly Twitter): 1 (Altmetric).

It is essential to present evidence supporting full alignment with institutional principles and guidelines on Open Science and the Conservation and Dissemination of Intellectual Heritage. A clear example of this is:

  • The work has been submitted to a journal whose editorial policy allows open Open Access publication.

Leadership analysis of institutional authors

There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: First Author (LABORDA HERRERO, JUAN) .

the author responsible for correspondence tasks has been LABORDA HERRERO, JUAN.